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About Carley Garner
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![By Carley Garner - Commodity Options: Trading and Hedging Volatility in the World¶¨s (2009-02-17) [Hardcover] Unknown Binding](https://m.media-amazon.com/images/I/510ubv0K-zL.SR160,240_BG243,243,243.jpg)
Author Updates
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Blog postYour trial has expired. Please update your subscription plan at rss.app. - (IDMRnbkUthb3vJpI)
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Blog postA $3.00 range in crude oil is a welcomed sight.
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Blog postI went on a road trip last weekend near several National Parks and the roads were mostly empty. I realize it is a small sample size, but one has to wonder if high fuel prices are finally causing demand destruction. 🤔⛽️😭
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Blog postThis is a FRAUDULENT ACCOUNT ATTEMPTING TO COMMIT FRAUD (notice slightly misspelled handle and username). Please don't communicate or follow it. Thank you. https://twitter.com/Infanteangelo/status/1528739543045783558
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Blog postPlease report this account. Do not communicate/follow this handle...it is a fake account attempting to scam people! @Carleyigarner https://twitter.com/Sandeeptummuti/status/1528730281204584448
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Blog postLife has been coming at the Garners hard and fast. Mother Nature can be cruel...but she can't take away memories. We have been sifting through decades of family pics reliving better times. This is me...freshly permed, naive, and ready to take on the world. It was a simpler time.
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Blog postThe ES bears have a slight edge, but they need to move fast. The S&P has gone into correction mode but the selling has been tepid. The complacent bulls haven't been given a reason to second-guess their bets; if the bears want to make progress they will want to see something happen sooner rather than later. The longer prices hover in this area the more likely the edge will shift back to the bulls.
The meaningful economic reports and the bulk of corporate earnings are behind us. Fr -
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Energy stocks have likely been holding the market up. Crude oil, and now natural gas, have made impressive moves higher. As a result, energy companies making up a significant amount of market capitalization and playing a big role in the US economy has been positive. Nevertheless, if crude oil prices come back to reality ($50s?), that will work against stocks.
In our view, the oil market is an accident waiting to happen. A few weeks ago we wrote a piece -
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Blog postThere is a lot of event risk floating around. If it isn't Chinese tariffs, it is a Trump administration investigation or Russian/Syrian turmoil. We've gone from a world seemingly without risks throughout most of 2017 and early 2018, to a world in which there are peripheral threats in every direction. That said, despite what it feels like volatility isn't as high as it could be. Although we are seeing large point swings in the stock indices, the percentage of the swings is relatively re
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Blog postChina is playing Trump's game...start the discussion with a bazooka before eventually pulling out the bb gun to negotiate. US equity and commodity markets were reeling last night on news of new Chinese tariffs. Not surprisingly, the markets overreacted. China's tariff threats don't go into effect immediately, and there is plenty of time for negotiations to take place. Further, it is important to remember that China imports much more to the US than the US does to China. Thus, an immediate fif
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Blog postTrade tariff talk is just that, we've yet to get anything concrete. Yet, the market is emotional. This is nothing new, if there is anything we've learned from the first year (+) of the Trump presidency it is the conversation always starts with drama, but then settles down to something more reasonable. Unfortunately, the markets haven't quite figured that out yet. Those that believe markets are efficient, will have a hard time explaining what we've seen in the previous three or four trading s
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Blog postEvent risk is looming in the financial markets.
On a scale of 1 to 10 this week's calendar event risk is a 12. We will be hearing about home data, employment data, manufacturing data, and sentiment data all while attempting to digest a mid-week Fed meeting (did I mention the State of the Union Address?). Economic data has been consistently strong; it doesn't make sense to expect otherwise. Yet, the financial markets have reacted to both good and bad data in the same manner (buy -
Blog postThe E-mini S&P traded lower two days in a row for the first time since late September.
Although losses were minimal, the ES managed to settle in the red on two consecutive trading sessions to close out last week. In a normal market this wouldn't be worth a mention, but in this market, it is a rare occurrence. The last consecutive negative closes took place on September 25th and 26th. Before that, you have to scroll the chart back to early August!
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Blog postwww.HigherProbabilityCommodityTradingBook.com Amazon Barnes & Noble Carley Garner, an experienced commodity broker for DeCarley Trading in Las Vegas, has followed up her previous three titles with Higher Probability Commodity Trading, a comprehensive futures and options trading book focused on trading strategy development, commodity market analysis, and much more.
The book received rave reviews from some of the top names in the industry, and we are confident you will -
Blog postImport/export prices were a wash, retail sales were solid In the end, today's economic news wasn't anything to write home about, but more importantly it wasn't reason for stock traders to sell into resistance levels. In fact, the S&P was able to maintain yesterday's bullish trade in the face of swift down-trend-line resistance. We see this as a sign of short-term strength...or at least a catalyst for more short covering.
Tomorrow we'll hear about producer price pressures an -
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Next week's calendar is busy
Not only will the earnings season be in full bloom next week, but traders will have the opportunity to react to a substantial number of data points. Some of the notable events will be Tuesday's retail sales, Wednesday's Fed Beige Book, Thursday's housing starts, and Friday's CPI.
If the recent downturn in economic data was, in fact, weather related as many economists suggested, we should see things firm in the next few wee
