Market Cycles

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"Understanding Cycles" - by David Shulman
Howard Marks of the very successful Oaktree Capital Management has written a way too long and very repetitive book on understanding market cycles. Where was his editor when we needed him/her? Nevertheless his “Mastering the Market Cycle” is an important book that will give disciplined investors great insight. Discipline is the operative word, because without it Marks’ insights are of limited value.

Marks cites five critical cycles: 1) economic, 2) profits, 3) stock market 4) credit and 5) risk. An investor has to know where we are with respect to each of those cycles and most important is the risk cycle which is determined by the psychology of investors. Simply put are they greedy or are they fearful. Although this sounds easy in theory it is very difficult to implement. For example it is very hard to be bearish when the whole world is bullish, this I know from experience, and ... full review
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"A "must read" for all traders by the author of the Stock Trader's Almanac" - by Day Trader
Useful information for any investor or stock market trader. All markets have cycles either based on seasonality or other factors and Jeff Hirsch offers a wealth of usable knowledge, facts and data to help make better trading decisions.
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"Superb" - by No Bull (Iowa)
This is a fantastic book. Gives great reasons as to why future returns are going to be low. Also talks about the critical need to move from Buy and Hold to a more skill based investing approach (i.e. trading on TA ?). The only negative, I see is that he does not elaborate much on what skills/techniques are needed to move to skills based technique. I guess..for that you can invest through his firm.
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"Great Video!" - by Philip H. Knorr (Honolulu, HI)
Very Informative Video!!!
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"Novel insights from a top wealth manager" - by Christopher B. Forrest
The financial markets are among the most complex and adaptive systems that we interact with. In a time when the ups and downs in the markets are moving at dizzying speed, Ernst provides a timely and insightful argument for how we should approach investing. I found the case he makes for adaptive investing to be tight and contemporary. His basic premise is that humans are hard wired to respond emotionally to the changes that emerge from complex adaptive systems--a mix of fear, regret, greed, and pride. As he points out, the problem with the emotional or "gut" approach is that it leads us to make misguided and even wrong decisions that hold the potential for hurting our hard earned "nest eggs." The approach that Ernst articulates in The Adaptive Investment Portfolio removes emotion from investment decisions and helps us maximize risk-adjusted return amid the turbulence and complexity of the markets. ... full review
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"This book is definitely worth reading." - by Alex M. (Los Angeles)
The author's approach toward economic data is very refreshing, in that he works quite hard at finding data that is predictive of stock market declines. Just the chapter on the "recession obsession", and why its bad for you makes the whole book worthwhile. It really put a lot of economic numbers in perspective, and made me realize it was actually possible to use economic numbers to your advantage.

I would also add that his writing style is very easy to follow. While it definitely helps if you have some background in economics, it is really not necessary.
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"If you are into market cycles you won't be disappointed. For me it has been a fascinating discovery ..." - by Walt Wengryn
This is a must have book for the market and cycle enthusiast that is looking to further there knowledge of market cycle analysis.
I have been part of this cycles group since the beginning and don't believe its just another book for a person hawking his software.at all.
The book gives you a precursor into the methodologies that Lars himself uses to trade and graciously has made available for public consumption
I personally bought the original book and now the updated version. I also have the software and have added some of the indicators to my trading platform. If you are into market cycles you won't be disappointed. For me it has been a fascinating discovery and enjoy using the software so I don't have to rely on someone else's commentary or I use it to double check other cycles publications that I receive.
Purchase the book to learn more about using his approach ... full review
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"J. M. Hurst in the spotlight" - by George
In 2011 the work of J. M. Hurst, considered by many as the father of modern cyclic analysis, enjoyed sudden and renewed interest by the trading community. This translated into several works approaching Hurst's methods from three different angles.

I'll start first with the current book. Just as stated by the author, it will help readers get a better grasp and understanding of Hurst's work, at a fraction of the the cost of his original private course. It will even provide buyers with the relevant code for Tradestation and Updata. This way, if you're tech savvy and already own one of these charting packages, or don't mind the additional investment needed to use them, you will be able to experiment further with the concepts covered in the book. Since it contains the code for all the different cycles, channels and other indicators, the author spares the reader the math details of ... full review
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"How to profit from the stock market's upcoming upswing and decline!" - by sam mathew (NEW CASTLE, DE, US)
WOW! Great work of predictive analytical insight drawn from correlating natural astronomical cycles to stock market cycles. Well written, explained and illustrated, The predictive conclusions are overwhelming convincing. I recommend buying this book to learn and to profit from the stock market's upcoming upswing and decline. [[ASIN:0988865246 Riding the Waves of the Stock Market: Applications of Environmental Astronomical Cycles to Market Prediction and Portfolio Management]]
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"A Learner's Guide to Applying Financial Astrology" - by R White
I am a retired teacher, and a friend recommended "A Trader's Guide to Financial Astrology" to me as he uses astrology along with other methods to determine his investment choices. Thirty-five years of classroom teaching has left me with a pension, Social Security, and a next egg that must be actively and wisely invested as I realize that my egg's risk of cracking is greater than ever given today's volatile economic conditions.

I'm continuously exploring diverse sources of information and methods of investing. The book defines financial astrology, how it has and can significantly assist in analyzing successful market forecasting.

After reading the book, I now have a foundational understanding of how astrology can be one more analytical device, a sort of universal ratchet in my investment toolbox that I can add to my financial planning strategies.

"A Trader's Guide to Financial Astrology" reads like a well designed text book. It's streamlined ... full review
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"Good book about market cycles" - by Stephen J. Puetz (Honolulu, Hawaii)
This book was interesting – with many excellent references from journals and other respected publications supporting the statements about cycles. The author’s conclusion of using a “dynamic cyclical model” for predicting market activity (rather than a “static cyclical model”) seems reasonable, and actually more in agreement with market behavior. Page 64 gave an intriguing idea about how to build a forecast from patterns of 8, 11, 19, 27, 30, and 38 years previously found in the stock market. It is clear that the author spent considerable time researching this project.... First, it took years of experience just to get to the point of having sufficient knowledge to start writing the book, and second, the book itself took considerable time. The final sections gave good details about how to download certain types of market data and how to program various systems. Readers new to cyclical analysis ... full review